Who do you think is going to be appointed to the top leadership spots in the Senate? Name your predictions for the following positions: Majority Leader (10 Points) Ways and Means Chair (9 points) President Pro Tempore (8 … [Read more...]
Make a 2012 Senate/Presidential Prediction!
UPDATED: Per david's suggestion, feel free to include your guess at the Electoral Votes total (EV) UPDATED 2: 11/2 11pm - Per trickle up's suggestion: a Deadline: MONDAY 11/5, 8pm (24 hours before polls close) for the prediction to be … [Read more...]
Top Senate predictions
Full listing (BMG in blue, RMG in red). Deviations Predictor Brown Coakley Kennedy 0 Actual 51.9 47.1 1 0.2 Ken Pittman 52 47 1 0.2 Paul … [Read more...]
53-44 Brown win? Prediction model, as originally designed, hopefully needs tweaking
The last time I tried to make a prediction, in the Democratic Senate primaries I was way off (I had Capuano winning 37-34). It was a humbling introduction into the online predicting world, but I noticed that I wasn't alone. The BMG … [Read more...]
BMG / RMG: MA Senate prediction composites 1/19/2010
BlueMassGroup Brown Coakley Kennedy Total BMG Straw Poll 5 31 0 36 % 13.89% 86.11% 0.00% BMG … [Read more...]
PREDICTION TIME: January 19th Senate race
Coakley: 55 Brown: 40 Kennedy: 4 Turnout: 620,000 The morning of the election I will once again put together a composite of all the predictions to see how close the BMG collective wisdom is to the final numbers. I wish I could offer a prize … [Read more...]
UPDATED -> BMG predictions composite, my election day prediction for Capuano
BMG prediction averages: Turnout: 399,927 (12%) Coakley: 37 Capuano: 32 Khazei: 19 Pagliuca: 12 So BMG predictions average out to a 37-32 Coakley win over Capuano, with Khazei in distant third. I think because they are a collection of … [Read more...]
Last Nights’ Dress Boy Sticks His Neck Out
Prediction [Jonah Goldberg] "In the next few days, there will be a wave of liberals - Frank Rich comes particularly to mind - who will use WFB's memory to beat up on today's conservatives ..." Whoa! ... Ya think so? Well, … [Read more...]
Got an inkling on how MA-05 turns out?
Prediction markets work by posing a well formulated question and getting people to bet on it's outcome. A well formulated question is one that has a clear outcome and a specific time deadline on which to analyze the outcome. … [Read more...]
CQ Politics Calls the Race!
Now, I've been a Massachusetts Democrat and a Red Sox fan far too long to not worry about the possibility of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory; however CQ has some of the best poltical and statistical analysts working in the US. The … [Read more...]