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Strategy question for Patrick

September 24, 2006 By publius

So Healey will go negative: hard, broadly, unrelentingly. She will throw everything she has against Patrick and hope something sticks. This carries risks for her: I think the data will show that she is not yet a deeply popular figure in … [Read more...]

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‘Twas the night before voting…

September 18, 2006 By publius

No, this won't be a poem. But I have always found Election Day to be as exciting as Christmas Eve is for children waiting for Santa. And I wanted to share the building excitement with you fine people.One of the truly still great things … [Read more...]

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Beginning to think about predictions

September 16, 2006 By publius

O'Brien  33%Birmingham  24Reich  25Tolman  18I don't want to oversimplify, and I know y'all will tell me six ways that I have, but it's striking to me that Reich and Tolman together got 43% (actually 42.5% before … [Read more...]

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The Globe poll’s real story

August 27, 2006 By publius

I think it's very bad news for Reilly. It's actually surprising his horserace number is as good as it is, given these internals. He's liked by about the same percentage of voters as the other two, disliked by considerably more (24R, 14G, … [Read more...]

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Patrick has more explaining to do

August 21, 2006 By publius

The Red Sox are very important to Massachusetts voters. But Deval Patrick has not fully explained his own baseball past.While he talks no end about growing up on the south side of Chicago, Patrick has been stangely silent about his baseball … [Read more...]

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Has Deval drunk the Kool Aid?

August 2, 2006 By publius

Sure, he continues to do local events and fundraisers. Yes, his minions continue to go door-to-door and hand out pledge cards. I imagine the number of IDed voters on his web tool continues to grow.But I bet I'm not the only DP supporter … [Read more...]

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Taxes are not a talismanic issue

July 14, 2006 By publius

Do many people care about taxes, at least a little? No question. Is there a significant slice of Massachusetts voters who are very inclined to vote for the candidate whom they believe will do more to lower taxes? Yes.But it's not the whole … [Read more...]

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Politics ain’t beanbag.

June 6, 2006 By publius

Yes, Patrick was trying to squash Gabrieli and Reilly like bugs, and maybe even challenged some delegates as part of that effort.Yes, Gabrieli was trying desperately to get enough votes to crack the 15% barrier, and maybe even spoke … [Read more...]

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Patrick is a wealthy, generous tax-payer

May 30, 2006 By publius

Deval Patrick disclosed today that he had $3.8 million in income in 2005.He gave $300,000 to charity and paid $1.5 million in taxes.Hey, Frank Phillips, seems that Patrick can pay those monthly mortgage bills without too much difficulty, … [Read more...]

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Conventional Wisdom : Gubernatorial Prediction

May 27, 2006 By publius

So what do you say, fellow junkies?My guess is "60-65%." … [Read more...]

Filed Under: User

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